読者です 読者をやめる 読者になる 読者になる



The plausibility of the impossible

Internet Trend

梅田さんの『Web 2.0時代を生きる英語嫌いの若い人たちへの英語勉強法』を読んで遅ればせながらKevin Kellyの『We Are the Web』を読んだ。細かな中身も啓発をうける点が多かったが、まず「10年後のことばっかり考えても10年後はわからないよね」というその基本スタンスに強くうなづいた。

Not only did we fail to imagine what the Web would become, we still don't see it today! We are blind to the miracle it has blossomed into. And as a result of ignoring what the Web really is, we are likely to miss what it will grow into over the next 10 years. Any hope of discerning the state of the Web in 2015 requires that we own up to how wrong we were 10 years ago.



Writing in Electronic Engineering Times in 1995, Jeff Johnson worried: "Ideally, individuals and small businesses would use the information highway to communicate, but it is more likely that the information highway will be controlled by Fortune 500 companies in 10 years." The impact would be more than commercial. "Speech in cyberspace will not be free if we allow big business to control every square inch of the Net," wrote Andrew Shapiro in The Nation in July 1995.


It assumes participation, not mere consumption. Our communication infrastructure has taken only the first steps in this great shift from audience to participants, but that is where it will go in the next decade.


そして、そんな歴史観の中でKevin Kellyは次の10年は下記のようになると大胆に予想する。

His phrase neatly sums up the destiny of the Web: As the OS for a megacomputer that encompasses the Internet, all its services, all peripheral chips and affiliated devices from scanners to satellites, and the billions of human minds entangled in this global network.

What will most surprise us is how dependent we will be on what the Machine knows - about us and about what we want to know. We already find it easier to Google something a second or third time rather than remember it ourselves. The more we teach this megacomputer, the more it will assume responsibility for our knowing. It will become our memory. Then it will become our identity. In 2015 many people, when divorced from the Machine, won't feel like themselves - as if they'd had a lobotomy.


But if we have learned anything in the past decade, it is the plausibility of the impossible.

というKevin KellyというPhraseを見ると、一旦それを考えとして受け入れてみるという思考実験はしてみるべきなんだろうなぁと思った。

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